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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+3.03vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University2.71+4.85vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+1.91vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+2.09vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.09+3.82vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52-1.38vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.74-0.20vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.48+2.69vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.68-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.60+0.53vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.02-1.72vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.28vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.83-3.04vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.39-0.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-7.69vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.34-0.98vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.50-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.85Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.91Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.09Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston College2.090.0%1st Place
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4.62Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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6.8Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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10.69Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Rhode Island1.600.0%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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10.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.74Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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15.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.340.0%1st Place
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16.38University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 19.7% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Woodford | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 14.2% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Michael Sturges | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wordell | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Drach | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin King | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 26.2% | 25.4% | 6.6% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marshall Bailey | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 16.3% | 40.6% | 20.6% |
| Timothy Donahoe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 16.8% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.