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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.90+1.34vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.99+0.20vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.30-0.04vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-1.26+1.38vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.45+1.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-0.42vs Predicted
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7Williams College-1.24-1.68vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.23-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Brown University0.9031.1%1st Place
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2.2Northeastern University0.9936.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Rhode Island0.3018.8%1st Place
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5.38Salve Regina University-1.263.4%1st Place
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6.94Amherst College-2.450.9%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.433.0%1st Place
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5.32Williams College-1.243.0%1st Place
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5.28Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.233.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Gibbs | 31.1% | 29.2% | 22.3% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Barrett | 36.1% | 28.4% | 20.1% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 18.8% | 21.6% | 25.6% | 19.3% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nat Altuzar | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 11.1% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 55.1% |
| Marcel Roche | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 21.6% | 14.6% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 9.8% |
| Samuel Honor | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.