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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.99+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.30+0.98vs Predicted
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3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.23+2.31vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.90-1.69vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-2.45+1.94vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-1.26-0.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.32vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.24-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Northeastern University0.9934.8%1st Place
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2.98University of Rhode Island0.3018.6%1st Place
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5.31Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.233.0%1st Place
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2.31Brown University0.9032.0%1st Place
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6.94Amherst College-2.451.1%1st Place
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5.26Salve Regina University-1.264.0%1st Place
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5.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.8%1st Place
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5.3Williams College-1.243.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Barrett | 34.8% | 29.8% | 20.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 18.6% | 21.0% | 26.0% | 18.7% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Honor | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 20.4% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 9.5% |
| Tucker Gibbs | 32.0% | 29.1% | 22.4% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 54.1% |
| Nat Altuzar | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 10.6% |
| Marcel Roche | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 23.1% | 15.2% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.