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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+2.94vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.48+8.91vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+1.86vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.68+3.06vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.74+1.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.44vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.55+0.41vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.09+0.86vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52-4.44vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.02-0.90vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.04vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83-2.16vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.60-2.32vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University2.71-7.06vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.39-1.09vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut0.24-1.61vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.34-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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10.91Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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4.86Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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6.69Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.090.1%1st Place
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4.56Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Rhode Island1.600.0%1st Place
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6.94Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.91Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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14.39University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
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15.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 20.6% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sturges | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Evan Woodford | 5.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Drach | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Matt Wordell | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| John McGlynn | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin King | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 24.4% | 19.0% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 26.5% | 23.5% |
| Marshall Bailey | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.