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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.55+6.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.67+1.96vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.36+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.60+6.63vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.48+5.84vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.74+0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.68-0.01vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University2.71-1.25vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09+0.16vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-5.57vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.67vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.19vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.02-3.66vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-4.01vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.34+0.31vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.39-1.94vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut0.24-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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4.88Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Rhode Island1.600.0%1st Place
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10.84Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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6.93Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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6.75Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.16Boston College2.090.0%1st Place
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4.43Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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9.34Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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15.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.340.0%1st Place
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14.06Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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14.39University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Fowler | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 19.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wordell | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sturges | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Woodford | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 15.3% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Drach | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Marshall Bailey | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 48.7% |
| Benjamin King | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 19.0% | 23.1% | 19.6% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 26.1% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.