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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.30+1.99vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.90+0.37vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.99-0.77vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.23+1.26vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.24+0.31vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.45+0.93vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.43-1.43vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-1.26-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Rhode Island0.3018.6%1st Place
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2.37Brown University0.9031.9%1st Place
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2.23Northeastern University0.9934.1%1st Place
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5.26Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.234.4%1st Place
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5.31Williams College-1.243.4%1st Place
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6.93Amherst College-2.451.3%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.432.8%1st Place
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5.34Salve Regina University-1.263.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Weinberg | 18.6% | 21.8% | 25.4% | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Gibbs | 31.9% | 26.7% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Barrett | 34.1% | 29.9% | 20.6% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Honor | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 10.4% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 20.7% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 9.6% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 55.6% |
| Marcel Roche | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 23.4% | 13.6% |
| Nat Altuzar | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 20.5% | 19.9% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.