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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University2.71+5.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+2.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.67+1.07vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+1.00vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.74+1.68vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09+3.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.60+2.43vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.55-1.44vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.68-3.08vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.39+2.99vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.02-2.81vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.83-3.01vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.48-2.92vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.24-0.79vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.34-0.57vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.35Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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5.0Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.68Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.15Boston College2.090.0%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Rhode Island1.600.0%1st Place
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7.56Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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13.99Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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9.19Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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9.99Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.08Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
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15.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John McGlynn | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 16.6% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 17.2% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 14.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Woodford | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wordell | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sturges | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin King | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 24.5% | 20.5% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 23.7% | 24.2% |
| Marshall Bailey | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 21.6% | 48.4% |
| Zachary Drach | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.