Race 4B

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tucker Gibbs 29.3% 26.2% 21.7% 13.2% 5.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Barrett 32.2% 29.0% 18.9% 12.2% 5.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Willem Weinberg 19.0% 18.6% 21.3% 17.7% 12.6% 6.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Samuel Honor 3.8% 3.8% 5.8% 8.2% 13.6% 14.9% 14.3% 14.4% 13.6% 7.6%
Alex Von Lehe 3.0% 4.2% 6.2% 9.5% 13.2% 14.0% 16.4% 14.1% 13.3% 6.2%
Rufus Fender-Reid 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 3.5% 3.7% 6.0% 8.2% 10.5% 16.2% 47.8%
Nat Altuzar 2.9% 5.1% 6.6% 9.8% 13.6% 13.9% 13.4% 14.5% 12.3% 7.8%
Marcel Roche 3.0% 4.6% 5.6% 8.0% 10.7% 12.6% 14.4% 14.6% 15.0% 11.3%
Owen Wyman 3.4% 4.5% 6.6% 10.5% 12.8% 14.3% 15.7% 14.0% 11.7% 6.4%
Katie Estep 2.5% 2.5% 5.7% 7.4% 9.1% 12.7% 14.2% 15.8% 17.3% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.