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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+2.99vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University2.71+4.85vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+1.48vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.55+3.47vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.74+1.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.83+4.00vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.68-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.60+1.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.85vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.48+0.05vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.09-3.05vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.02-3.69vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.39+0.07vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.24-0.80vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.34-0.59vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.85Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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4.48Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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7.47Boston University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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4.89Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Rhode Island1.600.0%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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11.05Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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8.95Boston College2.090.0%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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14.07Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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14.2University of Connecticut0.240.0%1st Place
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15.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 19.9% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 16.4% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Fowler | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 13.1% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sturges | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wordell | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 1.8% |
| Evan Woodford | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin King | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 18.7% | 23.7% | 21.1% |
| Myles Gibbs | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 26.1% | 22.9% |
| Marshall Bailey | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 21.9% | 48.2% |
| Zachary Drach | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.