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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+7.30vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.82+7.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.67vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+7.96vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.45+2.13vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.75+0.65vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.22vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.70+2.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.95+0.30vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.68+0.01vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.32vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.28-4.71vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.37vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.71-4.10vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-5.23vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-5.68vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.05-4.17vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.62-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Roger Williams University2.097.2%1st Place
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9.49George Washington University1.825.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.5%1st Place
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11.96Old Dominion University1.573.4%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University2.458.9%1st Place
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6.65Georgetown University2.7510.1%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.578.5%1st Place
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10.93Yale University1.703.4%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy1.955.2%1st Place
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10.01Cornell University1.684.5%1st Place
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11.32University of California at Los Angeles1.303.0%1st Place
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7.29Tulane University2.288.8%1st Place
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10.63SUNY Maritime College1.883.9%1st Place
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9.9University of Pennsylvania1.715.1%1st Place
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9.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.775.2%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.554.4%1st Place
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12.83University of Vermont1.052.2%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University1.623.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
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Oliver Stokke | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
Tyler Wood | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
Nicholas Reeser | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
Parker Purrington | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% |
Robby Meek | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
Mariner Fagan | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Owen Hennessey | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
Alex Adams | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
Trenton Shaw | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
J.J. Smith | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
Marianna Shand | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% |
Kelly Holthus | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
Spencer Barnes | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
Benjamin Honig | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
Jack Vanderhorst | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 21.9% |
Patrick Dolan | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.