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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University2.22+3.31vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley2.12+1.44vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.04-1.37vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.64+0.65vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.62+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-0.87vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.41+0.65vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.81-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.79-2.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.08-1.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.1%1st Place
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4.44University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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2.63Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.65California State University Monterey Bay1.640.1%1st Place
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8.25California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.1%1st Place
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8.65California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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7.68California Poly Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Wood | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Erik Lund | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Travis Benton | 13.7% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Dahl | 32.0% | 26.4% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| William Antrobus | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 12.0% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Charles Shane | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| Riley Silberman | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.9% |
| Saul Rosen | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% |
| Karisa Chapa | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 41.5% |
| Ian Spilman | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.