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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.00+7.46vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+5.48vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+6.00vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+3.44vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.52+7.48vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.68+3.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+3.39vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.13+5.01vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85-0.80vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.73-0.97vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-4.66vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.80-2.15vs Predicted
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13Cornell University0.94-4.49vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.70-4.39vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01-6.55vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86-6.80vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.40-11.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Northeastern University1.006.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Vermont0.878.1%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.005.5%1st Place
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7.44Boston University1.149.1%1st Place
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12.48Connecticut College0.522.2%1st Place
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9.82Northwestern University0.683.9%1st Place
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10.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.643.8%1st Place
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13.01SUNY Maritime College-0.131.5%1st Place
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8.2Eckerd College0.857.5%1st Place
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9.03Christopher Newport University0.735.2%1st Place
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6.34Fordham University1.6210.2%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University0.803.9%1st Place
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8.51Cornell University0.946.2%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University0.704.0%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.016.2%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.864.5%1st Place
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5.75University of Southern California1.4012.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Wilkinson | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 22.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Luke Barker | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 30.6% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Marcus Greco | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Tomas Riccio | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Luke Harris | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.