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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Dahl 31.7% 24.5% 18.7% 10.0% 7.1% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Travis Benton 12.4% 13.3% 15.0% 13.5% 13.0% 9.5% 9.0% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
Brandon Wood 15.6% 13.9% 15.0% 13.9% 11.5% 11.9% 7.8% 6.3% 2.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Erik Lund 6.2% 10.2% 10.5% 11.8% 10.2% 12.7% 11.4% 8.0% 7.8% 6.4% 3.8% 1.0%
Zachary Haney 7.9% 8.8% 10.5% 11.3% 11.7% 10.9% 10.8% 9.6% 6.6% 7.5% 2.5% 1.9%
Tommy Pastalka 6.9% 7.1% 8.0% 9.2% 9.3% 9.4% 12.8% 11.0% 10.8% 7.0% 6.5% 2.0%
Charles Shane 3.1% 3.1% 3.3% 4.0% 5.8% 5.2% 6.3% 8.6% 10.9% 13.8% 16.4% 19.5%
William Antrobus 3.0% 4.4% 4.2% 5.0% 4.9% 6.7% 8.6% 8.7% 11.5% 13.4% 15.5% 14.1%
Karisa Chapa 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 3.9% 4.7% 7.5% 8.6% 10.1% 18.3% 37.2%
Riley Silberman 3.8% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 6.5% 8.9% 7.5% 10.4% 12.9% 13.8% 12.5% 9.0%
Saul Rosen 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 5.3% 7.6% 7.7% 8.7% 10.1% 11.8% 13.8% 14.4% 10.4%
Ian Spilman 4.9% 5.3% 4.3% 8.8% 9.4% 9.0% 10.2% 12.1% 12.3% 10.5% 8.8% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.