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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley2.12+2.49vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.22+1.18vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+1.64vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay1.64+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+0.25vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.41+1.59vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.62+0.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.08+0.75vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.81-2.30vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.79-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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4.18Santa Clara University2.220.2%1st Place
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5.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.1%1st Place
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5.63California State University Monterey Bay1.640.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.1%1st Place
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8.59California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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8.16California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.7California Poly Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 31.7% | 24.5% | 18.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 12.4% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Brandon Wood | 15.6% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Erik Lund | 6.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Charles Shane | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 19.5% |
| William Antrobus | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| Karisa Chapa | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 37.2% |
| Riley Silberman | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 10.4% |
| Ian Spilman | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.