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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+6.05vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.71+7.88vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+5.30vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+5.40vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.75+0.66vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.68+2.61vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.95+1.35vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.82+0.61vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.62+0.91vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.50vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.28-4.53vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77-3.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-6.31vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.46vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-2.95vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.57-5.24vs Predicted
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18Yale University1.70-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Harvard University2.459.3%1st Place
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9.88University of Pennsylvania1.714.7%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.096.4%1st Place
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6.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5710.5%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.554.9%1st Place
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6.66Georgetown University2.759.8%1st Place
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9.61Cornell University1.685.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy1.955.2%1st Place
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9.61George Washington University1.824.1%1st Place
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10.91Fordham University1.623.9%1st Place
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10.5SUNY Maritime College1.884.0%1st Place
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7.47Tulane University2.289.0%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.774.2%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.328.6%1st Place
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11.54University of California at Los Angeles1.302.5%1st Place
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13.05University of Vermont1.052.2%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University1.572.8%1st Place
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10.98Yale University1.702.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Honig | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Vanderhorst | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Trenton Shaw | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
| Spencer Barnes | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% |
| Kelly Holthus | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 23.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% |
| Alex Adams | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.