Race 3A

north-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Dahl 32.6% 24.2% 18.5% 10.9% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Benton 12.0% 14.4% 15.5% 14.0% 12.4% 9.2% 8.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Tommy Pastalka 7.3% 6.1% 9.3% 11.0% 7.7% 10.5% 12.1% 10.9% 10.0% 8.4% 4.6% 2.1%
Brandon Wood 13.3% 16.3% 14.2% 15.1% 12.7% 10.0% 7.5% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Zachary Haney 8.2% 8.7% 10.7% 9.9% 12.0% 13.1% 11.5% 8.8% 7.2% 4.9% 3.5% 1.5%
Charles Shane 2.4% 2.4% 2.8% 4.7% 5.8% 4.2% 7.1% 9.8% 9.0% 14.5% 18.6% 18.7%
Erik Lund 8.8% 10.1% 9.1% 11.6% 11.7% 11.8% 10.9% 8.7% 7.6% 5.5% 2.3% 1.9%
Riley Silberman 3.5% 5.2% 4.7% 6.1% 5.8% 8.5% 10.3% 9.1% 10.9% 14.6% 12.0% 9.3%
William Antrobus 2.2% 2.7% 4.1% 5.1% 6.5% 7.7% 8.9% 11.5% 13.2% 13.2% 13.2% 11.7%
Saul Rosen 3.7% 4.7% 5.1% 4.8% 7.1% 9.0% 7.7% 11.1% 14.5% 10.7% 13.7% 7.9%
Karisa Chapa 1.9% 1.2% 1.2% 2.2% 2.6% 4.5% 3.5% 7.1% 8.1% 10.5% 17.3% 39.9%
Alex Verdoia 4.1% 4.0% 4.8% 4.6% 9.0% 7.5% 10.2% 10.1% 12.1% 13.6% 13.1% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.