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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay1.64+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley2.12+2.41vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.04-0.42vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+1.56vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University2.22-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.08+3.75vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.81+0.54vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.62+0.07vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.41-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.79-2.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.41-4.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65California State University Monterey Bay1.640.1%1st Place
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4.41University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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2.58Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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5.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.1%1st Place
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4.24Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.54California Poly Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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8.07California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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8.62California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.1%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Haney | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Travis Benton | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Dahl | 34.2% | 23.6% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Brandon Wood | 14.6% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Karisa Chapa | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 40.2% |
| Riley Silberman | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.4% |
| William Antrobus | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.7% |
| Charles Shane | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 16.0% |
| Saul Rosen | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.8% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Alex Verdoia | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.