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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.04+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley2.12+2.40vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay1.64+2.53vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University2.22+0.20vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+0.16vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay0.41+1.56vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.81-0.35vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy0.62-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.08-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.79-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.4University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
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5.53California State University Monterey Bay1.640.1%1st Place
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4.2Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.1%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.1%1st Place
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8.56California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
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7.65California Poly Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
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8.11California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 33.3% | 24.1% | 18.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Travis Benton | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Haney | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Brandon Wood | 13.9% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Erik Lund | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Charles Shane | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 19.2% |
| Riley Silberman | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
| William Antrobus | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 10.9% |
| Karisa Chapa | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 18.8% | 36.7% |
| Saul Rosen | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% |
| Alex Verdoia | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.