← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.04+1.63vs Predicted
-
2California Poly Maritime Academy0.62+6.21vs Predicted
-
3California State University Monterey Bay1.64+2.60vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley2.12+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Santa Clara University2.22-0.82vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz1.41+0.18vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Davis-0.08+2.57vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay0.41+0.63vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64-3.62vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy0.81-2.33vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.79-3.14vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63Stanford University3.040.3%1st Place
-
8.21California Poly Maritime Academy0.620.0%1st Place
-
5.6California State University Monterey Bay1.640.1%1st Place
-
4.46University of California at Berkeley2.120.1%1st Place
-
4.18Santa Clara University2.220.1%1st Place
-
6.18University of California at Santa Cruz1.410.1%1st Place
-
9.57University of California at Davis-0.080.0%1st Place
-
8.63California State University Monterey Bay0.410.0%1st Place
-
5.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.1%1st Place
-
7.67California Poly Maritime Academy0.810.0%1st Place
-
7.86University of California at Berkeley0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Dahl | 32.6% | 24.3% | 18.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Antrobus | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 12.1% |
| Zachary Haney | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Travis Benton | 10.8% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Wood | 14.9% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Tommy Pastalka | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Karisa Chapa | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 36.6% |
| Charles Shane | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 19.9% |
| Erik Lund | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Riley Silberman | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.4% |
| Saul Rosen | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.7% |
| Alex Verdoia | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.