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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.18+5.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23+0.33vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.20+1.09vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-0.43vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.66-0.67vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.36+1.85vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.13-0.06vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-1.35vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.17-1.93vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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2.33Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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4.09Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.21California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
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5.33California Poly Maritime Academy1.660.1%1st Place
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6.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.0%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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8.65California Poly Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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9.07California State University Monterey Bay0.170.0%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Hayes | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Molly McKinney | 37.9% | 26.9% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 14.9% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Cowley | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eric Johnson | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 39.2% |
| Kelly Goodman | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 17.4% |
| Alexander Webster | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| Caitiln Westemeier | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 20.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.