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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.18+5.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.23+0.34vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.20+1.10vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.66+1.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.36+3.94vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay1.69-1.83vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-1.30vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.17-0.15vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.13-1.86vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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2.34Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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4.1Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.3California Poly Maritime Academy1.660.1%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.1%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.17California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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6.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.1%1st Place
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8.85California State University Monterey Bay0.170.0%1st Place
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8.67California Poly Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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6.7University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Hayes | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Molly McKinney | 38.1% | 26.2% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 14.7% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Cowley | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 39.4% |
| Hanna Miller | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Caitiln Westemeier | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 16.0% |
| Alexander Webster | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 15.1% |
| Kelly Goodman | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 21.0% |
| Ian Spilman | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.