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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.23+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.18+4.25vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University2.20+0.84vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay1.69+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.61+2.73vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.66-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.36+2.67vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07-1.52vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay0.50-1.11vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.13-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
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6.25University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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3.84Santa Clara University2.200.2%1st Place
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4.95California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
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5.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.660.1%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.1%1st Place
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7.89California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
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8.53California Poly Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 41.5% | 27.4% | 16.5% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 16.4% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 7.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mike McCarthy | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 36.4% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Christina Stege | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 9.1% |
| Alexander Webster | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 16.3% |
| Kelly Goodman | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 22.6% |
| Ian Spilman | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.