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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+7.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+5.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+8.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.49+5.81vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.27+5.14vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.18+5.32vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.59+2.24vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-1.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.25+0.81vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.06-3.58vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.42-1.86vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.17-5.78vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-6.06vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.57-5.22vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.94vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.84-4.61vs Predicted
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18Yale University1.59-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Roger Williams University1.845.9%1st Place
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7.02Georgetown University2.209.2%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.222.8%1st Place
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9.81University of California at Los Angeles1.495.5%1st Place
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10.14George Washington University1.274.3%1st Place
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11.32Cornell University1.183.3%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University1.595.0%1st Place
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7.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1310.2%1st Place
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7.08University of Pennsylvania2.169.3%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Naval Academy1.253.1%1st Place
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7.42Tulane University2.067.4%1st Place
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10.14Fordham University1.424.6%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University2.178.8%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.6%1st Place
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9.78North Carolina State University1.575.5%1st Place
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14.06SUNY Maritime College0.411.6%1st Place
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12.39University of Vermont0.842.3%1st Place
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9.63Yale University1.594.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lars Osell | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Ian Wells | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Hugh Carty | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Zander King | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 32.6% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.