Race 4B

north-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Molly McKinney 43.4% 25.8% 15.6% 8.5% 3.5% 2.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Hayes 4.9% 6.5% 7.7% 10.5% 11.5% 11.6% 10.8% 10.4% 11.2% 7.6% 5.4% 1.9%
Hanna Miller 9.4% 11.3% 13.8% 11.9% 13.7% 10.7% 10.7% 8.8% 5.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.4%
JOHN CONNOR BATHEN 13.9% 18.4% 17.4% 15.4% 12.8% 8.6% 6.5% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Eric Johnson 8.3% 10.7% 12.7% 13.5% 13.0% 11.3% 10.4% 6.6% 5.7% 5.3% 1.7% 0.8%
Shaun Prestridge 4.6% 6.1% 8.8% 8.3% 9.0% 9.6% 12.7% 12.2% 10.9% 7.8% 7.3% 2.7%
Ryan Wilkerson 1.6% 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 2.6% 5.2% 5.4% 5.3% 8.7% 10.2% 17.8% 37.2%
Christina Stege 2.3% 4.5% 4.6% 5.6% 6.4% 7.8% 9.0% 9.7% 13.4% 13.5% 14.7% 8.5%
Mike McCarthy 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 7.3% 7.6% 9.4% 8.8% 12.6% 12.5% 13.4% 10.9% 7.2%
Kelly Goodman 1.7% 3.3% 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 5.9% 6.2% 7.6% 10.7% 13.6% 19.9% 19.6%
Alexander Webster 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 5.4% 6.9% 6.9% 10.1% 10.1% 15.1% 15.7% 19.7%
Ian Spilman 5.1% 6.3% 6.5% 9.7% 10.7% 10.7% 12.3% 12.6% 9.1% 9.7% 5.3% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.