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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+7.63vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+7.26vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+4.22vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+3.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+5.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.25+4.79vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.42+3.06vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.16-0.86vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.27+1.09vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.17-2.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.49-1.20vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-3.92vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.18-1.65vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.59-4.36vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.06-7.51vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.57-6.10vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.84-4.48vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.41-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Roger Williams University1.845.9%1st Place
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9.26Old Dominion University1.595.2%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.6%1st Place
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7.0Georgetown University2.208.8%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.224.0%1st Place
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10.79U. S. Naval Academy1.253.8%1st Place
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10.06Fordham University1.424.8%1st Place
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7.14University of Pennsylvania2.169.2%1st Place
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10.09George Washington University1.274.5%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University2.178.3%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Los Angeles1.495.1%1st Place
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8.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.1%1st Place
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11.35Cornell University1.183.0%1st Place
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9.64Yale University1.595.3%1st Place
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7.49Tulane University2.067.6%1st Place
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9.9North Carolina State University1.575.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Vermont0.842.1%1st Place
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14.04SUNY Maritime College0.411.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lars Osell | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Hugh Carty | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ian Wells | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Zander King | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.