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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.62+5.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+5.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+5.58vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+3.49vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.00+3.32vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+2.24vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+1.99vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.68+1.95vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.52+3.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+0.20vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.40-5.18vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.94-3.44vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.70-3.38vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.80-4.24vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.13-1.99vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.73-6.73vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Fordham University1.6210.9%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont0.877.2%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.016.2%1st Place
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7.49Boston University1.147.2%1st Place
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8.32Northeastern University1.006.8%1st Place
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8.24Eckerd College0.856.7%1st Place
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8.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.005.1%1st Place
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9.95Northwestern University0.684.0%1st Place
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12.5Connecticut College0.522.5%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.644.2%1st Place
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5.82University of Southern California1.4011.8%1st Place
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8.56Cornell University0.945.7%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University0.704.8%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University0.804.5%1st Place
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13.01SUNY Maritime College-0.132.1%1st Place
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9.27Christopher Newport University0.735.1%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland0.865.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Tomas Riccio | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 14.2% | 24.3% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| Luke Harris | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Greco | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Luke Barker | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 29.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.