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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+5.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.84+6.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+6.99vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.06+3.85vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+3.36vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+1.14vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+4.37vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.57+2.05vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59+0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.84+2.66vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.16-3.57vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.27vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.27-2.63vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.18-2.54vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.17-7.67vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.42-5.62vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles1.49-6.70vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.41-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02U. S. Naval Academy2.5711.8%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University1.846.3%1st Place
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9.99Yale University1.594.5%1st Place
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7.85Tulane University2.067.4%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.1%1st Place
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7.14Georgetown University2.207.9%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.1%1st Place
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10.05North Carolina State University1.575.1%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University1.594.5%1st Place
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12.66University of Vermont0.842.5%1st Place
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7.43University of Pennsylvania2.168.6%1st Place
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7.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.1%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University1.274.7%1st Place
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11.46Cornell University1.183.8%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University2.178.2%1st Place
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10.38Fordham University1.423.8%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Los Angeles1.493.1%1st Place
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14.38SUNY Maritime College0.411.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Zander King | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lars Osell | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 16.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Ian Wells | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.