← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.23+1.14vs Predicted
-
2Santa Clara University2.20+1.83vs Predicted
-
3California State University Monterey Bay1.69+1.92vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.66+0.96vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.07+1.48vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.61+1.63vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.93vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.13+0.69vs Predicted
-
9California State University Monterey Bay0.17-0.42vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis-0.36-0.29vs Predicted
-
11California Poly Maritime Academy0.24-2.38vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz1.12-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.14Stanford University3.230.4%1st Place
-
3.83Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.92California State University Monterey Bay1.690.1%1st Place
-
4.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.660.1%1st Place
-
6.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.070.1%1st Place
-
7.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.610.0%1st Place
-
6.07University of California at Berkeley1.180.1%1st Place
-
8.69University of California at Berkeley0.130.0%1st Place
-
8.58California State University Monterey Bay0.170.0%1st Place
-
9.71University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
-
8.62California Poly Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
6.36University of California at Santa Cruz1.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 43.9% | 24.7% | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 14.3% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Miller | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Eric Johnson | 7.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Shaun Prestridge | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Mike McCarthy | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 7.3% |
| Megan Hayes | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Kelly Goodman | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 17.9% |
| Caitiln Westemeier | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 18.7% | 37.2% |
| Alexander Webster | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 15.7% |
| Ian Spilman | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.