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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+4.65vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.84+6.94vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+4.66vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.59+6.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+6.25vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.06+1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.84+5.76vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.27+2.39vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.59+0.50vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-2.83vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.69vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.42-1.42vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.17-5.61vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.16-6.64vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.57-5.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.49-5.75vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.18-5.31vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.41-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65U. S. Naval Academy2.5712.8%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University1.845.0%1st Place
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7.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.8%1st Place
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10.02Yale University1.594.3%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.5%1st Place
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7.96Tulane University2.067.4%1st Place
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12.76University of Vermont0.842.3%1st Place
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10.39George Washington University1.274.0%1st Place
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9.5Old Dominion University1.595.1%1st Place
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7.17Georgetown University2.208.7%1st Place
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8.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.5%1st Place
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10.58Fordham University1.424.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University2.177.2%1st Place
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7.36University of Pennsylvania2.168.6%1st Place
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9.85North Carolina State University1.574.7%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Los Angeles1.493.6%1st Place
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11.69Cornell University1.182.5%1st Place
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14.28SUNY Maritime College0.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Lars Osell | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Zander King | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 16.7% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Ian Wells | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.