Race 1A

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Joseph Morris 20.5% 20.4% 11.7% 11.5% 10.6% 7.6% 5.3% 4.3% 3.3% 1.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 4.8% 4.6% 6.4% 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 7.3% 7.7% 8.3% 9.3% 8.4% 8.4% 7.8% 4.1% 0.9%
Gram Slattery 7.5% 7.4% 8.0% 6.7% 8.5% 8.5% 7.6% 9.4% 8.4% 8.5% 7.3% 5.6% 4.3% 1.9% 0.4%
William Hutchings 8.7% 9.1% 9.8% 8.6% 9.5% 7.4% 9.4% 8.4% 7.7% 7.9% 4.9% 4.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Jack Swikart 7.1% 8.9% 6.7% 6.3% 7.0% 8.6% 7.1% 9.4% 9.1% 8.4% 7.1% 7.2% 4.1% 2.9% 0.1%
Judge Ryan 11.1% 10.3% 12.6% 11.7% 9.9% 10.2% 8.9% 7.5% 7.2% 3.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Mary Hall 13.2% 10.5% 12.8% 11.1% 10.4% 10.2% 7.5% 6.8% 5.3% 4.5% 4.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Mackenzie Spencer 8.1% 9.6% 8.5% 9.9% 7.6% 8.9% 8.6% 9.1% 7.8% 7.7% 6.4% 3.9% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Andrew Bates 5.5% 4.4% 6.6% 7.1% 8.3% 7.9% 9.1% 7.3% 8.9% 8.5% 8.8% 7.4% 6.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Bradley Milliken 4.4% 4.0% 5.6% 5.8% 6.4% 6.3% 9.1% 8.6% 8.5% 8.8% 9.5% 9.6% 7.4% 4.8% 1.2%
Samantha Gebb 1.5% 2.5% 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.2% 4.1% 3.7% 4.9% 6.8% 7.8% 11.1% 13.2% 24.3% 11.0%
Timothy Clark 3.6% 3.8% 2.9% 5.9% 6.5% 5.1% 7.5% 6.0% 7.5% 10.7% 10.1% 10.7% 11.8% 7.2% 0.7%
Michael Rivlin 2.0% 2.2% 3.3% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 3.6% 5.9% 5.7% 5.4% 9.7% 13.2% 16.9% 17.4% 4.9%
John Croll 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 2.6% 3.7% 4.6% 5.4% 6.2% 6.7% 8.4% 11.5% 15.6% 20.7% 5.0%
Jack Pinnell 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 1.1% 2.0% 2.3% 4.5% 10.7% 74.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.