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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+4.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+8.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+6.65vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84+8.63vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.84+3.90vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.06+1.90vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.17+0.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.49+2.18vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-1.18vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-2.90vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.16-3.58vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-0.66vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.18-1.69vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-5.72vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.75vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.59-6.47vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.42-6.66vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.27-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76U. S. Naval Academy2.5712.7%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.424.0%1st Place
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9.65Yale University1.594.8%1st Place
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12.63University of Vermont0.842.3%1st Place
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8.9Roger Williams University1.845.3%1st Place
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7.9Tulane University2.067.2%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.177.8%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Los Angeles1.493.8%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.6%1st Place
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7.1Georgetown University2.207.9%1st Place
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7.42University of Pennsylvania2.168.9%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.2%1st Place
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11.31Cornell University1.183.4%1st Place
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8.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.8%1st Place
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14.25SUNY Maritime College0.411.7%1st Place
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9.53Old Dominion University1.595.3%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University1.423.9%1st Place
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10.47George Washington University1.273.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dominik spinelli | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Zander King | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ian Wells | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lars Osell | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 33.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.