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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+10.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.49+8.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.57+2.97vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.06+3.78vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.27+5.43vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.59+3.90vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.84+1.93vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.16-1.63vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.42+0.54vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.74vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.17-4.61vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-5.42vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.84-1.40vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.18-3.44vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.20-8.80vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.59-7.60vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.41-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.222.9%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Los Angeles1.494.4%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy2.5711.2%1st Place
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7.78Tulane University2.067.2%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University1.274.9%1st Place
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9.9Yale University1.594.5%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University1.846.2%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.423.8%1st Place
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7.37University of Pennsylvania2.167.8%1st Place
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10.54Fordham University1.423.6%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.4%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University2.177.0%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.9%1st Place
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12.6University of Vermont0.842.7%1st Place
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11.56Cornell University1.183.1%1st Place
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7.2Georgetown University2.209.2%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University1.595.1%1st Place
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14.18SUNY Maritime College0.411.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Osell | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% |
| Ian Wells | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zander King | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Dominik spinelli | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 16.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.