Race 3A

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Bradley Milliken 5.8% 5.4% 5.5% 6.5% 6.9% 7.1% 7.4% 7.0% 7.8% 9.1% 8.1% 10.0% 7.0% 5.0% 1.4%
Joseph Morris 21.1% 17.6% 14.7% 11.8% 9.8% 7.5% 5.9% 4.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Judge Ryan 11.9% 11.3% 12.5% 9.5% 12.1% 8.5% 9.6% 7.8% 4.8% 5.7% 3.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 4.5% 4.9% 5.7% 6.4% 6.7% 7.3% 8.3% 6.6% 9.4% 9.0% 9.0% 8.6% 7.2% 5.3% 1.1%
Jack Swikart 6.9% 7.9% 6.8% 7.0% 7.6% 8.3% 8.0% 9.5% 8.8% 9.7% 6.5% 5.9% 4.3% 2.7% 0.1%
Andrew Bates 4.8% 5.2% 6.9% 7.1% 6.7% 6.8% 8.6% 8.1% 9.6% 8.1% 9.7% 8.2% 6.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Timothy Clark 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 4.0% 6.0% 6.5% 6.3% 8.2% 8.4% 8.4% 11.5% 9.5% 9.1% 6.7% 1.8%
William Hutchings 9.8% 8.6% 8.4% 8.9% 6.5% 10.5% 8.6% 8.3% 8.0% 7.9% 7.1% 3.5% 2.3% 1.5% 0.1%
John Croll 1.6% 2.4% 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 5.0% 3.3% 5.6% 5.0% 8.2% 9.9% 11.5% 16.0% 18.9% 4.9%
Mary Hall 12.7% 10.0% 11.6% 13.3% 10.3% 9.8% 7.9% 6.3% 6.3% 4.7% 3.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Gram Slattery 6.0% 8.2% 8.6% 7.1% 8.2% 7.6% 8.1% 8.3% 8.8% 7.1% 8.5% 6.1% 4.8% 1.7% 0.9%
Mackenzie Spencer 6.4% 9.0% 8.2% 9.6% 9.5% 7.3% 10.2% 9.8% 8.3% 6.4% 6.4% 5.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Michael Rivlin 2.0% 3.0% 1.6% 3.8% 4.0% 3.6% 3.4% 5.1% 5.9% 6.4% 8.0% 12.7% 16.2% 19.6% 4.7%
Samantha Gebb 1.8% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.7% 3.9% 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 5.7% 6.4% 11.3% 17.3% 24.8% 8.2%
Jack Pinnell 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 3.0% 4.4% 8.9% 76.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.