Race 4A

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Joseph Morris 20.2% 20.9% 11.9% 11.6% 10.1% 7.1% 6.7% 5.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Bates 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 6.7% 7.2% 8.0% 8.7% 7.9% 9.2% 9.0% 7.5% 7.3% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9%
Bradley Milliken 5.0% 4.4% 7.5% 5.8% 4.8% 7.6% 7.1% 9.3% 7.2% 10.9% 9.1% 9.1% 6.6% 4.9% 0.7%
Judge Ryan 11.9% 12.4% 10.9% 11.5% 9.5% 8.8% 8.6% 6.9% 7.7% 3.9% 4.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Mackenzie Spencer 8.9% 9.6% 8.2% 6.9% 9.9% 8.8% 9.4% 9.0% 7.8% 6.7% 6.4% 4.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
William Hutchings 9.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.6% 8.6% 11.0% 9.4% 8.5% 7.3% 8.1% 6.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Mary Hall 12.5% 11.5% 12.6% 10.5% 10.4% 10.5% 7.1% 7.6% 5.1% 4.9% 3.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Timothy Scanlon 4.7% 5.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 5.4% 6.7% 7.1% 9.8% 9.3% 9.7% 8.6% 8.9% 4.2% 1.4%
Jack Swikart 6.5% 5.5% 8.6% 8.8% 9.1% 7.5% 9.8% 8.4% 8.7% 8.1% 8.4% 4.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Timothy Clark 4.1% 3.3% 4.4% 5.1% 6.9% 5.6% 6.5% 7.7% 7.3% 9.4% 10.7% 10.8% 10.2% 6.6% 1.4%
Gram Slattery 6.4% 7.9% 7.2% 8.9% 7.9% 8.8% 7.9% 7.1% 10.1% 6.7% 7.5% 5.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
John Croll 1.8% 1.4% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 3.7% 4.5% 5.2% 5.6% 6.6% 8.1% 12.8% 15.4% 23.0% 5.2%
Michael Rivlin 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 4.0% 3.5% 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 5.5% 6.6% 9.4% 13.9% 15.0% 18.2% 4.6%
Samantha Gebb 1.3% 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 4.6% 5.6% 5.9% 7.5% 10.8% 16.7% 24.0% 8.3%
Jack Pinnell 0.3% 0.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 2.1% 1.1% 3.0% 3.2% 10.0% 75.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.