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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.59+9.06vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+7.61vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.49+7.59vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+3.47vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.84+3.97vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.57+0.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+3.43vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.06-0.02vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.41+5.50vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.16-2.53vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.17-3.32vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.27-1.62vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.18-1.64vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-6.20vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.74vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-7.79vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.84-4.20vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.98-9.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.06Yale University1.594.9%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University1.594.8%1st Place
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10.59University of California at Los Angeles1.493.8%1st Place
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7.47Georgetown University2.207.8%1st Place
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8.97Roger Williams University1.846.1%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Naval Academy2.5711.2%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.424.2%1st Place
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7.98Tulane University2.067.0%1st Place
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14.5SUNY Maritime College0.411.5%1st Place
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7.47University of Pennsylvania2.168.3%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University2.176.9%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University1.274.0%1st Place
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11.36Cornell University1.183.5%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.0%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.5%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Vermont0.842.1%1st Place
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8.35Fordham University1.986.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Ian Wells | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dominik spinelli | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Zander King | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 37.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Lars Osell | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.