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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+6.42vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.06+5.91vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+5.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+3.63vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.41vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.84+3.26vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98+1.43vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59+1.96vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-1.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.28vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.49-0.62vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.57-6.00vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.41+1.39vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.27-3.34vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.59-5.32vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.18-4.29vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.84-4.26vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Georgetown University2.207.8%1st Place
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7.91Tulane University2.067.3%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.3%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.178.7%1st Place
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7.41University of Pennsylvania2.167.3%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University1.845.1%1st Place
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8.43Fordham University1.986.2%1st Place
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9.96Yale University1.594.9%1st Place
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7.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.2%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.5%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Los Angeles1.494.2%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy2.5712.4%1st Place
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14.39SUNY Maritime College0.411.7%1st Place
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10.66George Washington University1.273.9%1st Place
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9.68Old Dominion University1.594.3%1st Place
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11.71Cornell University1.182.5%1st Place
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12.74University of Vermont0.842.1%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.423.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Zander King | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lars Osell | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Ian Wells | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Henry Allgeier | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 35.3% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.7% |
| Dominik spinelli | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.