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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.57+5.06vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.16+5.58vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.84+5.55vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.98+4.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+2.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+5.31vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.18+4.54vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59+1.79vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-1.70vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.27+0.53vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.84-1.90vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.41+2.26vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-4.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42-3.33vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-7.24vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.49-5.89vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.59-7.39vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.84-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06U. S. Naval Academy2.5710.9%1st Place
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7.58University of Pennsylvania2.168.8%1st Place
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8.55Tulane University1.845.9%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University1.986.8%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.178.1%1st Place
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11.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.222.5%1st Place
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11.54Cornell University1.183.2%1st Place
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9.79Yale University1.595.1%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University2.207.5%1st Place
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10.53George Washington University1.273.6%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University1.845.6%1st Place
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14.26SUNY Maritime College0.411.5%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.5%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.423.9%1st Place
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7.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.4%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Los Angeles1.494.5%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University1.594.9%1st Place
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12.75University of Vermont0.842.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Lars Osell | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% |
| Pilar Cundey | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 34.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Dominik spinelli | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ian Wells | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.