Race 6A

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Judge Ryan 12.5% 12.6% 11.9% 10.5% 11.0% 7.7% 9.3% 6.2% 5.2% 4.7% 4.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Andrew Bates 5.4% 6.3% 7.0% 7.3% 8.4% 7.6% 7.3% 7.9% 7.8% 9.0% 7.5% 8.6% 6.0% 3.2% 0.7%
Mackenzie Spencer 8.0% 10.3% 8.3% 8.4% 10.5% 8.4% 9.9% 9.1% 7.7% 6.1% 5.7% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Gram Slattery 7.3% 6.3% 8.1% 7.7% 8.3% 9.2% 8.7% 6.9% 9.1% 7.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Joseph Morris 19.3% 15.2% 14.1% 13.6% 11.1% 8.2% 6.4% 4.3% 3.3% 1.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 4.0% 6.2% 5.3% 4.1% 6.8% 7.8% 4.9% 10.7% 9.7% 8.3% 10.2% 8.6% 9.1% 3.5% 0.8%
Bradley Milliken 5.5% 5.4% 5.3% 6.6% 5.3% 6.0% 8.0% 8.9% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 9.5% 7.9% 4.8% 0.7%
William Hutchings 8.9% 9.6% 8.6% 8.2% 7.5% 11.1% 8.7% 7.4% 8.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Samantha Gebb 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 2.7% 2.9% 2.4% 3.5% 5.2% 5.4% 5.9% 8.2% 12.5% 14.4% 25.0% 7.4%
Timothy Clark 4.3% 3.3% 4.7% 5.4% 4.3% 7.6% 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 10.3% 9.2% 10.6% 9.8% 7.3% 1.4%
Michael Rivlin 2.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 4.1% 4.7% 4.4% 5.1% 6.3% 6.8% 9.5% 10.4% 14.6% 16.5% 7.1%
John Croll 1.7% 2.1% 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.2% 4.4% 5.1% 5.1% 6.1% 8.6% 11.2% 17.2% 24.3% 4.2%
Jack Swikart 6.5% 6.5% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.0% 7.8% 9.2% 8.1% 10.2% 8.1% 7.4% 4.1% 2.4% 0.2%
Mary Hall 12.5% 12.1% 13.2% 12.7% 8.9% 7.8% 9.2% 5.6% 7.0% 5.3% 3.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 1.6% 1.5% 3.0% 3.9% 8.5% 76.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.