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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+10.36vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+6.55vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.84+5.58vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.41+10.44vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+3.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.57-0.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+2.92vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.59+1.54vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.18+2.65vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-2.64vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.16-3.50vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.49-3.71vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.84-6.11vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.17-8.64vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.27-6.60vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.84-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.222.9%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.056.2%1st Place
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8.58Tulane University1.846.1%1st Place
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14.44SUNY Maritime College0.411.1%1st Place
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8.28Fordham University1.986.5%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy2.5711.7%1st Place
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9.92Yale University1.594.7%1st Place
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9.54Old Dominion University1.595.1%1st Place
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11.65Cornell University1.182.9%1st Place
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7.36Georgetown University2.208.3%1st Place
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7.5University of Pennsylvania2.168.1%1st Place
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7.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.137.8%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.424.2%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Los Angeles1.494.5%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University1.845.4%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University2.178.4%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University1.274.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Vermont0.842.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Osell | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 37.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Dominik spinelli | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Ian Wells | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.