Race 7A

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Judge Ryan 13.2% 11.9% 11.8% 9.4% 10.3% 7.8% 9.4% 8.7% 4.6% 4.6% 3.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Bradley Milliken 5.1% 4.6% 5.8% 6.9% 7.2% 7.5% 7.2% 7.2% 9.9% 8.5% 8.6% 9.4% 6.8% 4.2% 1.1%
Joseph Morris 20.6% 17.7% 14.3% 13.3% 8.8% 8.9% 6.5% 3.1% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Croll 2.2% 1.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 3.9% 4.1% 5.2% 5.9% 6.5% 9.3% 11.1% 14.9% 20.1% 6.2%
Gram Slattery 6.9% 8.9% 5.7% 7.1% 7.9% 8.3% 7.6% 8.2% 9.9% 8.9% 7.2% 5.6% 5.2% 2.5% 0.1%
Timothy Scanlon 4.8% 5.3% 5.6% 4.5% 6.5% 6.3% 7.8% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 9.6% 8.5% 8.8% 4.8% 0.5%
Mackenzie Spencer 9.2% 8.1% 9.7% 8.5% 9.0% 10.3% 9.2% 8.3% 6.8% 7.3% 5.1% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1%
William Hutchings 8.5% 9.5% 8.5% 8.3% 8.4% 9.0% 9.6% 8.4% 8.6% 7.5% 4.7% 5.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.2%
Michael Rivlin 2.0% 1.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.8% 4.0% 3.6% 6.7% 7.0% 8.6% 10.3% 10.6% 15.1% 16.1% 4.4%
Mary Hall 11.5% 11.4% 11.7% 12.1% 10.0% 10.6% 9.0% 6.4% 5.2% 4.2% 4.2% 2.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Jack Swikart 6.0% 7.8% 8.8% 7.9% 7.8% 6.7% 9.0% 8.6% 7.4% 8.4% 7.5% 6.8% 4.8% 1.7% 0.8%
Timothy Clark 3.7% 2.7% 3.7% 5.2% 7.1% 6.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.3% 8.8% 10.4% 11.3% 11.2% 7.4% 0.8%
Samantha Gebb 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 3.0% 2.7% 2.6% 4.2% 4.3% 6.2% 7.1% 10.1% 16.6% 26.4% 9.0%
Andrew Bates 5.3% 6.5% 6.0% 7.2% 6.5% 7.4% 7.6% 9.3% 9.5% 7.6% 9.6% 7.7% 5.6% 3.7% 0.5%
Jack Pinnell 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7% 1.9% 2.7% 4.0% 10.0% 76.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.