Race 8A

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Joseph Morris 19.9% 18.1% 15.3% 10.8% 8.5% 8.9% 7.3% 3.6% 3.7% 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Judge Ryan 12.4% 13.7% 10.2% 10.8% 11.5% 9.3% 7.6% 5.9% 6.4% 4.6% 3.9% 1.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
William Hutchings 8.6% 8.0% 9.4% 10.9% 8.2% 8.5% 8.1% 10.2% 7.9% 7.6% 5.3% 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 4.4% 5.8% 5.3% 5.4% 8.2% 7.5% 7.8% 7.3% 7.0% 7.9% 9.3% 10.9% 7.2% 5.1% 0.9%
Timothy Clark 4.4% 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 4.6% 5.6% 6.8% 7.4% 6.9% 8.3% 11.3% 11.0% 10.3% 6.4% 1.9%
Andrew Bates 4.8% 6.0% 6.2% 6.1% 6.5% 7.0% 8.4% 10.3% 8.2% 10.5% 8.3% 7.7% 7.1% 2.3% 0.6%
Gram Slattery 8.6% 5.6% 7.6% 7.0% 8.3% 9.3% 9.2% 9.5% 7.7% 7.7% 6.6% 6.1% 4.4% 2.3% 0.1%
Bradley Milliken 4.8% 4.6% 6.0% 7.4% 5.7% 6.4% 6.7% 6.5% 8.5% 10.6% 8.8% 9.9% 7.9% 5.2% 1.0%
Mary Hall 11.6% 12.1% 13.8% 10.7% 10.5% 8.6% 10.0% 6.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Mackenzie Spencer 8.2% 7.5% 7.8% 10.9% 10.3% 8.4% 9.0% 8.3% 8.9% 7.2% 4.6% 4.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
John Croll 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.0% 4.2% 4.7% 3.3% 5.1% 5.4% 6.1% 9.0% 12.2% 14.1% 19.5% 7.8%
Samantha Gebb 1.7% 1.2% 2.0% 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 3.9% 5.6% 4.4% 9.5% 10.0% 16.3% 27.4% 7.8%
Jack Swikart 6.4% 7.9% 5.6% 7.9% 6.9% 7.6% 6.8% 10.1% 9.7% 9.7% 9.0% 4.3% 5.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Michael Rivlin 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 3.6% 4.8% 4.4% 4.6% 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 12.3% 15.3% 17.8% 3.6%
Jack Pinnell 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 9.5% 75.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.