Race 2A

emma-2023

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Seamus Hendrickson 13.7% 15.0% 13.7% 11.7% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 6.3% 4.5% 3.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Mason Shaw 10.5% 11.9% 9.8% 11.2% 9.8% 10.2% 9.2% 8.3% 6.5% 6.0% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8%
Domenico Sacchetti 7.4% 7.4% 9.8% 9.8% 9.4% 10.3% 9.8% 10.4% 8.3% 7.2% 5.1% 3.5% 1.5%
Joseph Mowrey 3.5% 4.3% 4.4% 5.0% 4.6% 5.3% 5.3% 7.2% 8.8% 12.3% 13.4% 15.7% 10.3%
Andrew Michels 12.9% 11.7% 11.4% 11.2% 10.2% 10.0% 9.6% 7.6% 6.2% 4.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Arden Carleton 17.9% 14.2% 13.9% 12.0% 11.3% 9.2% 7.4% 6.3% 3.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Keegan Aerts 1.1% 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 2.7% 3.0% 4.3% 4.9% 8.6% 13.7% 52.5%
Jack Miller 10.7% 8.8% 8.3% 10.0% 8.8% 9.4% 10.6% 8.2% 8.7% 7.0% 5.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Carly Irwin 2.8% 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 5.2% 4.2% 4.7% 6.7% 8.6% 9.5% 13.3% 21.4% 15.6%
Jennifer Falkner 3.6% 5.0% 5.6% 5.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 9.0% 9.3% 11.5% 12.3% 11.4% 5.2%
Juhi Desai 5.1% 5.5% 6.7% 5.4% 7.2% 6.8% 7.8% 8.8% 10.6% 9.2% 11.4% 10.5% 4.9%
Iain McSweeney 5.0% 6.0% 5.5% 7.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.5% 10.4% 10.8% 9.5% 4.4%
Jenna Kozal 5.9% 5.9% 6.5% 6.5% 7.8% 7.4% 7.8% 9.4% 11.0% 11.8% 9.8% 7.0% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.