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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+3.86vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.90+2.63vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College1.04+1.28vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.49+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.08+2.37vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.12+1.54vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.51+1.57vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.65-2.66vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.73+2.18vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.12-3.04vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.71-1.70vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-0.85-2.70vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois0.44-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Michigan Technological University0.9613.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Wisconsin0.9013.6%1st Place
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4.28Hillsdale College1.0415.8%1st Place
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5.74Michigan State University0.499.8%1st Place
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7.37University of Toledo-0.085.8%1st Place
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7.54Indiana University-0.124.9%1st Place
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8.57Purdue University-0.513.5%1st Place
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5.34Ohio State University0.6511.3%1st Place
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11.18Western Michigan University-1.730.9%1st Place
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6.96Marquette University-0.126.8%1st Place
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9.3Hope College-0.712.5%1st Place
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9.3Grand Valley State University-0.853.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Illinois0.449.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 13.6% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Arden Carleton | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Miller | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Iain McSweeney | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
| Juhi Desai | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 9.3% |
| Mason Shaw | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 16.0% | 50.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Jack Bergman | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 14.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 14.3% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.