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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.08+6.16vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College1.04+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.90+1.50vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.12+3.01vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.96-0.26vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.65-0.81vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.49-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois0.44-2.07vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-0.12-1.69vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.51-1.58vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.87vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University-1.73-0.96vs Predicted
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13Hope College-1.63-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16University of Toledo-0.085.9%1st Place
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4.16Hillsdale College1.0416.8%1st Place
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4.5University of Wisconsin0.9016.4%1st Place
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7.01Marquette University-0.125.8%1st Place
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4.74Michigan Technological University0.9614.0%1st Place
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5.19Ohio State University0.6510.1%1st Place
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5.58Michigan State University0.499.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Illinois0.448.0%1st Place
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7.31Indiana University-0.125.5%1st Place
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8.42Purdue University-0.513.5%1st Place
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9.13Grand Valley State University-0.852.8%1st Place
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11.04Western Michigan University-1.731.1%1st Place
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10.84Hope College-1.631.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain McSweeney | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 16.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 16.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Michels | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Miller | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Juhi Desai | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 10.3% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 21.3% | 40.9% |
| Kent Colbrunn | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 23.6% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.