Race 2B

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lucas Adams 14.6% 13.7% 12.7% 11.1% 10.5% 7.7% 8.2% 6.1% 5.4% 4.6% 2.4% 1.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Marlena Fauer 16.1% 17.0% 12.1% 11.4% 10.0% 8.9% 6.9% 6.2% 4.3% 3.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Booker 9.0% 9.9% 9.6% 9.5% 10.6% 7.7% 10.4% 9.1% 7.5% 6.2% 4.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Brendan Heussler 6.9% 6.3% 8.1% 8.6% 8.1% 9.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.9% 8.7% 7.9% 7.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.1%
George Prieto 7.5% 7.5% 6.8% 7.1% 7.1% 10.6% 7.9% 7.8% 10.5% 8.7% 6.4% 6.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.4% 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 8.3% 7.4% 8.5% 10.3% 8.2% 10.3% 9.0% 7.3% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Dylan Finneran 4.1% 4.0% 4.2% 3.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.7% 6.1% 8.3% 9.4% 12.0% 14.3% 11.0% 5.0% 1.0%
Christopher Price 7.3% 6.8% 8.7% 7.1% 6.6% 8.9% 9.1% 8.1% 9.2% 8.5% 8.6% 6.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 12.0% 11.0% 11.8% 13.3% 10.0% 7.6% 10.5% 7.3% 5.8% 4.4% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Noel Ingalls 0.8% 0.7% 1.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 2.5% 3.6% 3.7% 5.8% 8.9% 23.9% 28.8% 13.8%
Conor Cashel 4.1% 4.5% 5.9% 5.4% 5.8% 7.4% 6.6% 7.5% 8.0% 8.8% 10.9% 12.2% 8.4% 4.0% 0.5%
Michael Russom 4.4% 3.1% 4.9% 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 9.7% 11.3% 11.8% 6.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Michael Drumm 6.9% 7.6% 7.0% 6.6% 8.4% 8.8% 7.4% 9.4% 10.1% 8.7% 9.3% 6.1% 3.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Grasso 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 2.4% 1.4% 3.1% 3.9% 6.2% 18.2% 34.4% 25.3%
Corbin Anderson 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.7% 2.3% 4.0% 7.8% 20.9% 58.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.