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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.13+2.44vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.73+3.83vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.17+1.15vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.09+0.27vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.71+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.56+2.04vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.76-1.25vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.18-0.77vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-1.49-1.16vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-0.70-4.32vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-2.00-1.91vs Predicted
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13Hope College-1.99-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Michigan Technological University0.9731.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Wisconsin0.1314.1%1st Place
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6.83Western Michigan University-0.735.9%1st Place
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5.15University of Toledo-0.1710.8%1st Place
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5.27Ohio State University0.099.2%1st Place
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6.75Michigan State University-0.715.7%1st Place
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9.04University of Illinois-1.562.2%1st Place
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6.75Grand Valley State University-0.766.1%1st Place
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8.23Indiana University-1.183.5%1st Place
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8.84Purdue University-1.492.5%1st Place
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6.68Hillsdale College-0.705.9%1st Place
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10.09Marquette University-2.001.5%1st Place
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10.18Hope College-1.991.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 31.1% | 23.9% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 14.1% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Mansvi Soni | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Williams | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Chris Li | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 13.4% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Ian Knox | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.8% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 27.7% |
| Natalie Glover | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.