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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+3.94vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.97+4.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+1.56vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52+1.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.91vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05-0.35vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.27-3.05vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.68-2.04vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.96-3.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+0.01vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.31+0.41vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.55-5.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-0.18-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.84Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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4.56Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.65Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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7.05Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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12.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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13.41Princeton University0.310.0%1st Place
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8.24Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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13.91U. S. Military Academy-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| George Prieto | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Booker | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Heussler | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 29.3% | 24.9% | 8.5% |
| Adrija Navarro | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 14.3% | 35.6% | 33.9% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Corbin Anderson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 8.3% | 25.7% | 55.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.