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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.13+2.45vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+2.30vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.71+2.88vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.76+1.77vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College-0.70+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.17-1.77vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-1.180.00vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.73-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-1.56-1.07vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.49-2.08vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.99-1.94vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-2.00-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Michigan Technological University0.9731.4%1st Place
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4.45University of Wisconsin0.1313.2%1st Place
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5.3Ohio State University0.098.5%1st Place
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6.88Michigan State University-0.715.5%1st Place
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6.77Grand Valley State University-0.765.8%1st Place
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6.62Hillsdale College-0.706.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Toledo-0.1710.4%1st Place
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8.0Indiana University-1.184.2%1st Place
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6.92Western Michigan University-0.736.4%1st Place
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8.93University of Illinois-1.562.8%1st Place
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8.92Purdue University-1.492.4%1st Place
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10.06Hope College-1.991.6%1st Place
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10.14Marquette University-2.001.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 31.4% | 23.4% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 13.2% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Mansvi Soni | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ian Knox | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Jack Charlton | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Chris Li | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 13.2% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.7% |
| Natalie Glover | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 28.6% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.