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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.13+3.82vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.97+1.00vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.17+2.60vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.71+3.09vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.31+0.97vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.18+2.55vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.09-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.56+1.46vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.76-1.86vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-1.49-0.76vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-0.73-3.75vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-2.00-1.52vs Predicted
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13Hillsdale College-0.70-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82University of Wisconsin0.1312.6%1st Place
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3.0Michigan Technological University0.9727.8%1st Place
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5.6University of Toledo-0.179.6%1st Place
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7.09Michigan State University-0.716.0%1st Place
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5.97Hope College-0.318.0%1st Place
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8.55Indiana University-1.182.9%1st Place
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5.5Ohio State University0.0910.3%1st Place
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9.46University of Illinois-1.562.2%1st Place
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7.14Grand Valley State University-0.765.7%1st Place
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9.24Purdue University-1.492.2%1st Place
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7.25Western Michigan University-0.735.6%1st Place
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10.48Marquette University-2.001.2%1st Place
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6.91Hillsdale College-0.705.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 27.8% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mansvi Soni | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Ian Knox | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.6% |
| Emily Williams | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Chris Li | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 21.4% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 35.4% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.