Race 5B

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Marlena Fauer 15.8% 16.6% 12.0% 9.9% 11.0% 9.1% 6.8% 5.9% 4.7% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Drumm 6.3% 9.3% 9.0% 8.3% 8.4% 8.6% 8.5% 8.1% 9.6% 6.9% 7.4% 5.3% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Christopher Price 7.5% 6.2% 8.6% 7.7% 6.7% 9.1% 8.0% 8.8% 8.8% 9.0% 7.8% 5.5% 5.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Lucas Adams 15.1% 12.0% 13.4% 10.4% 9.0% 8.6% 8.0% 8.1% 6.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 11.8% 12.1% 10.0% 10.1% 9.4% 10.3% 8.3% 9.3% 5.5% 5.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
George Prieto 7.1% 7.6% 6.1% 8.3% 6.8% 8.4% 10.5% 8.9% 8.5% 7.6% 9.0% 6.1% 4.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Michael Booker 10.3% 8.6% 9.9% 9.6% 9.8% 8.4% 8.9% 7.5% 6.7% 7.5% 6.3% 3.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.1% 6.4% 6.9% 7.3% 7.7% 6.6% 8.4% 7.9% 8.5% 10.4% 8.1% 8.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.1%
Michael Russom 4.7% 5.0% 5.2% 6.4% 8.1% 7.4% 7.7% 7.5% 7.9% 10.1% 10.1% 11.2% 6.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Brendan Heussler 6.4% 6.1% 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 8.0% 9.4% 7.9% 9.8% 8.6% 7.2% 8.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Dylan Finneran 3.3% 3.6% 4.1% 4.7% 4.8% 4.6% 6.1% 7.2% 8.7% 7.9% 10.1% 13.6% 12.8% 7.0% 1.5%
Conor Cashel 3.9% 3.9% 3.8% 6.1% 7.4% 6.1% 4.7% 7.4% 8.7% 10.2% 12.3% 11.7% 9.1% 4.1% 0.6%
Noel Ingalls 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 2.1% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 2.6% 3.6% 4.6% 7.5% 19.2% 33.9% 17.3%
Corbin Anderson 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 3.9% 6.4% 16.4% 66.7%
Lindsay Eysenbach 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 1.1% 2.7% 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 4.7% 6.4% 9.5% 20.7% 28.3% 12.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.