← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.13+3.79vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University0.09+3.63vs Predicted
-
3University of Illinois-1.56+6.40vs Predicted
-
4Indiana University-1.18+4.63vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-0.31+0.91vs Predicted
-
6University of Toledo-0.17-0.43vs Predicted
-
7Grand Valley State University-0.76+0.31vs Predicted
-
8Michigan Technological University0.97-5.11vs Predicted
-
9Michigan State University-0.71-2.03vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-2.00+0.34vs Predicted
-
11Hillsdale College-0.70-3.98vs Predicted
-
12Western Michigan University-0.73-4.75vs Predicted
-
13Purdue University-1.49-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.79University of Wisconsin0.1311.9%1st Place
-
5.63Ohio State University0.099.5%1st Place
-
9.4University of Illinois-1.562.5%1st Place
-
8.63Indiana University-1.182.9%1st Place
-
5.91Hope College-0.318.6%1st Place
-
5.57University of Toledo-0.179.8%1st Place
-
7.31Grand Valley State University-0.765.3%1st Place
-
2.89Michigan Technological University0.9729.6%1st Place
-
6.97Michigan State University-0.715.9%1st Place
-
10.34Marquette University-2.001.7%1st Place
-
7.02Hillsdale College-0.705.9%1st Place
-
7.25Western Michigan University-0.734.3%1st Place
-
9.27Purdue University-1.492.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Chris Li | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 20.9% |
| Ian Knox | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.5% |
| Caroline Henry | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Mansvi Soni | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 29.6% | 23.2% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 33.6% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.