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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.13+3.44vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.97+0.86vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+2.35vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.76+3.04vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-0.70+1.74vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.18+2.14vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-0.73-0.02vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.71-1.24vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-0.17-3.66vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-1.49-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-1.56-1.79vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.55-2.91vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-2.00-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44University of Wisconsin0.1314.8%1st Place
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2.86Michigan Technological University0.9728.6%1st Place
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5.35Ohio State University0.099.8%1st Place
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7.04Grand Valley State University-0.765.3%1st Place
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6.74Hillsdale College-0.706.1%1st Place
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8.14Indiana University-1.183.6%1st Place
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6.98Western Michigan University-0.735.6%1st Place
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6.76Michigan State University-0.716.3%1st Place
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5.34University of Toledo-0.1710.4%1st Place
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8.89Purdue University-1.492.4%1st Place
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9.21University of Illinois-1.562.5%1st Place
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9.09Hope College-1.552.5%1st Place
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10.16Marquette University-2.002.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 14.8% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 28.6% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Ian Knox | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.1% |
| Jack Charlton | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Mansvi Soni | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% |
| Chris Li | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.8% |
| Connor Bricco | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.0% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.