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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.09+4.28vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.97+0.79vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.76+3.97vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.17+1.24vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.71+1.74vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.73+0.99vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-0.70-0.33vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-1.18+0.10vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.55+0.18vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.13-5.42vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.49-2.01vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-1.56-2.70vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-2.00-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Ohio State University0.0910.4%1st Place
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2.79Michigan Technological University0.9730.8%1st Place
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6.97Grand Valley State University-0.764.5%1st Place
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5.24University of Toledo-0.1711.2%1st Place
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6.74Michigan State University-0.716.0%1st Place
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6.99Western Michigan University-0.734.8%1st Place
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6.67Hillsdale College-0.706.0%1st Place
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8.1Indiana University-1.184.4%1st Place
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9.18Hope College-1.552.2%1st Place
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4.58University of Wisconsin0.1313.4%1st Place
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8.99Purdue University-1.492.2%1st Place
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9.3University of Illinois-1.562.7%1st Place
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10.16Marquette University-2.001.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Williams | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 30.8% | 23.3% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Mansvi Soni | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Jack Charlton | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Ian Knox | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| Connor Bricco | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lily Rouget | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.8% |
| Chris Li | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| Luqman Waheeduddin | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.