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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+5.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+2.59vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+3.63vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.27-0.99vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.96-0.98vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.52-3.76vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85-2.53vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.55-2.68vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-6.86vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.55+0.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19-2.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-0.18-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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4.59Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.02Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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5.24Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.47Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.32Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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5.14Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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13.13Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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13.96U. S. Military Academy-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Russom | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| George Prieto | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Heussler | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Willem Sandberg | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 14.7% | 36.5% | 28.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 28.2% | 23.9% | 9.9% |
| Corbin Anderson | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 22.6% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.