Race 1A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Cole Woodworth 16.6% 17.2% 15.2% 15.5% 13.0% 9.5% 8.1% 3.6% 1.4%
Will Murray 28.5% 21.8% 18.2% 12.6% 9.1% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.4%
Lauren Ehnot 16.2% 16.9% 16.6% 14.4% 13.1% 9.6% 7.7% 4.0% 1.6%
Brooks Turcotte 7.6% 8.6% 9.0% 12.0% 12.9% 13.1% 14.3% 13.7% 8.8%
Samuel Stephens 4.0% 3.9% 4.9% 6.0% 7.1% 10.7% 13.2% 17.2% 32.9%
Asher Green 9.2% 11.5% 11.9% 12.2% 12.2% 13.2% 12.5% 10.8% 6.6%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 4.6% 6.6% 7.6% 8.8% 8.9% 12.6% 13.6% 18.4% 18.9%
Gavin Sanborn 7.6% 7.6% 8.8% 10.1% 12.6% 13.5% 14.4% 15.4% 10.0%
Max Case 5.7% 6.2% 7.6% 8.4% 11.2% 11.9% 13.4% 16.2% 19.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.