Race 9B

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Marlena Fauer 15.9% 13.6% 13.8% 11.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.6% 6.9% 5.4% 2.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Christopher Price 7.7% 6.0% 8.9% 8.3% 9.5% 6.6% 8.2% 9.5% 9.5% 6.6% 7.5% 6.6% 3.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Willem Sandberg 12.0% 12.2% 10.3% 11.3% 9.8% 9.9% 9.3% 7.9% 6.8% 4.4% 3.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Lindsay Eysenbach 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8% 4.6% 7.7% 10.0% 20.4% 28.7% 11.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.0% 6.4% 6.4% 6.5% 8.0% 7.8% 6.9% 8.1% 8.4% 10.6% 8.7% 7.4% 6.3% 2.3% 0.2%
Michael Russom 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 5.2% 6.0% 7.9% 7.7% 8.1% 9.5% 9.5% 10.4% 9.8% 7.1% 2.8% 0.3%
Michael Booker 10.7% 8.2% 9.0% 8.3% 10.6% 9.9% 9.5% 7.9% 7.9% 6.3% 4.8% 4.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 4.4% 4.8% 5.4% 5.7% 6.5% 5.8% 6.1% 7.3% 8.6% 8.6% 10.5% 12.7% 10.4% 2.7% 0.5%
Lucas Adams 13.5% 12.1% 12.5% 13.3% 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 6.2% 5.8% 4.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Noel Ingalls 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 4.7% 7.9% 17.9% 34.7% 16.3%
George Prieto 6.1% 8.8% 8.0% 6.9% 8.1% 7.9% 8.4% 8.3% 6.7% 9.0% 8.0% 7.3% 4.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Corbin Anderson 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 2.6% 5.5% 16.5% 69.3%
Brendan Heussler 5.7% 7.1% 6.0% 8.2% 6.6% 8.2% 6.8% 9.0% 9.2% 10.2% 9.5% 6.7% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4%
Dylan Finneran 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 6.1% 5.9% 6.8% 5.8% 6.4% 9.9% 10.9% 14.3% 11.7% 5.6% 1.5%
Michael Drumm 7.3% 9.0% 7.3% 7.5% 7.7% 8.6% 7.7% 9.1% 9.6% 8.0% 7.3% 6.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.