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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.72+4.29vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+0.81vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.44+0.85vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.84+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.31+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.56-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.01-1.25vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29SUNY Maritime College0.727.7%1st Place
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2.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1627.9%1st Place
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3.85Cornell University1.4414.9%1st Place
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4.94Princeton University0.849.9%1st Place
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3.74University of Pennsylvania1.5816.8%1st Place
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6.11University of Wisconsin0.315.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Vermont0.567.8%1st Place
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6.75University of Michigan-0.013.8%1st Place
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6.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.516.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Turcotte | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Will Murray | 27.9% | 24.7% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 14.9% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Asher Green | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Cole Woodworth | 16.8% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 10.4% |
| Samuel Stephens | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 31.8% |
| Max Case | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.