Race 11B

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Willem Sandberg 13.0% 13.2% 11.1% 10.3% 9.6% 9.0% 8.4% 8.3% 5.3% 4.2% 3.3% 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Drumm 7.2% 7.9% 9.3% 9.9% 8.6% 6.9% 8.9% 7.3% 9.0% 8.2% 6.8% 6.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Michael Russom 5.2% 5.4% 6.6% 5.5% 7.0% 6.5% 8.1% 8.6% 9.2% 10.6% 10.7% 9.4% 5.6% 1.3% 0.3%
George Prieto 7.3% 7.4% 8.7% 7.9% 6.6% 7.5% 9.4% 9.2% 7.3% 10.5% 8.0% 6.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Marlena Fauer 14.8% 14.0% 12.3% 12.1% 9.7% 10.3% 7.7% 6.1% 5.3% 3.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Booker 8.4% 9.8% 8.8% 9.4% 9.8% 10.5% 8.8% 8.4% 8.3% 6.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Christopher Price 7.7% 6.3% 7.6% 7.9% 7.7% 8.6% 8.8% 8.2% 9.1% 8.2% 7.8% 6.4% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Lucas Adams 14.7% 14.5% 10.5% 10.1% 10.1% 9.3% 8.4% 6.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Finneran 3.0% 3.6% 3.9% 4.1% 4.7% 6.1% 7.6% 7.4% 7.2% 9.7% 11.1% 16.2% 10.1% 4.6% 0.7%
Jennifer Borshoff 6.0% 5.6% 6.2% 7.4% 8.0% 7.8% 6.5% 9.6% 9.6% 8.4% 9.3% 9.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.2%
Brendan Heussler 7.2% 6.8% 8.8% 7.2% 8.2% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.5% 7.4% 9.5% 6.4% 4.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 4.4% 3.3% 4.0% 5.8% 6.4% 5.9% 6.8% 7.3% 9.2% 9.2% 12.6% 12.9% 9.1% 2.8% 0.3%
Padraig Loughlin 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 2.4% 1.6% 2.3% 3.4% 4.9% 5.5% 9.5% 29.4% 23.7% 10.4%
Adrija Navarro 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.5% 14.5% 34.9% 33.2%
Corbin Anderson 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 1.3% 0.6% 1.5% 1.4% 3.7% 9.0% 25.2% 54.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.