Race 12B

owen-mosbacherknapp-trophies

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Willem Sandberg 12.6% 12.8% 12.6% 9.1% 10.5% 8.9% 7.8% 7.1% 6.7% 4.5% 3.2% 2.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucas Adams 13.6% 14.7% 13.1% 11.7% 10.7% 8.1% 6.9% 6.0% 5.5% 4.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Price 6.8% 6.9% 7.8% 8.6% 8.1% 8.0% 7.9% 9.3% 8.6% 10.1% 7.7% 5.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 5.9% 6.3% 7.4% 7.7% 8.3% 6.9% 8.4% 6.6% 9.8% 9.9% 9.5% 7.4% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Dylan Finneran 3.6% 4.6% 4.1% 4.5% 4.4% 5.0% 5.3% 6.9% 8.2% 8.3% 11.5% 15.6% 12.8% 3.9% 1.3%
George Prieto 6.7% 7.2% 5.8% 7.3% 8.2% 9.6% 9.6% 11.1% 8.9% 7.6% 7.8% 6.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Michael Drumm 8.8% 6.3% 7.1% 9.2% 7.2% 9.8% 10.5% 8.6% 6.7% 8.2% 8.1% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Brendan Heussler 7.0% 6.3% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 7.3% 7.9% 9.0% 9.5% 9.8% 8.0% 7.0% 3.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Michael Booker 9.3% 8.6% 9.4% 11.2% 8.5% 11.0% 8.3% 9.4% 7.3% 5.7% 6.2% 3.2% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Russom 4.7% 4.7% 4.8% 6.6% 7.2% 6.0% 8.1% 8.3% 9.1% 9.4% 12.0% 10.0% 7.0% 1.4% 0.7%
Conor Cashel 4.1% 4.9% 6.5% 4.4% 5.1% 8.5% 6.5% 6.5% 8.9% 9.6% 9.2% 13.7% 8.3% 3.1% 0.7%
Padraig Loughlin 1.1% 0.6% 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 3.6% 6.8% 6.5% 10.3% 28.3% 24.9% 8.8%
Adrija Navarro 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 5.1% 12.8% 36.3% 34.0%
Corbin Anderson 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 3.2% 9.4% 26.2% 54.2%
Marlena Fauer 15.4% 15.3% 12.3% 9.9% 10.9% 8.2% 8.9% 6.8% 5.1% 2.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.