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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.44+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.58+0.72vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.84+0.89vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.31+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.56-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.01-1.38vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1626.9%1st Place
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3.82Cornell University1.4417.4%1st Place
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3.72University of Pennsylvania1.5817.8%1st Place
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4.89Princeton University0.848.6%1st Place
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6.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.3%1st Place
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6.14University of Wisconsin0.315.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Vermont0.567.4%1st Place
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6.62University of Michigan-0.014.2%1st Place
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5.32SUNY Maritime College0.727.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 26.9% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 17.4% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Cole Woodworth | 17.8% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Asher Green | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Max Case | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 18.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 20.6% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 11.2% |
| Samuel Stephens | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 30.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.