← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Will Murray 27.3% 23.1% 17.8% 13.2% 9.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.4%
Cole Woodworth 17.6% 16.0% 16.2% 14.1% 12.2% 11.9% 6.3% 4.0% 1.6%
Lauren Ehnot 16.6% 15.4% 15.0% 15.4% 14.1% 10.3% 7.3% 4.3% 1.6%
Brooks Turcotte 7.9% 9.2% 10.3% 11.1% 11.7% 13.1% 13.5% 13.2% 10.1%
Asher Green 9.1% 10.2% 10.1% 13.5% 13.2% 12.2% 14.0% 10.9% 6.9%
Gavin Sanborn 7.6% 8.2% 9.8% 8.9% 12.2% 13.4% 14.2% 14.3% 11.3%
Max Case 5.1% 7.4% 7.9% 8.6% 10.1% 11.9% 13.4% 16.4% 19.2%
Samuel Stephens 3.6% 4.7% 5.7% 7.2% 8.1% 10.2% 13.2% 17.0% 30.3%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 5.1% 5.9% 7.1% 8.0% 9.4% 12.2% 15.2% 18.4% 18.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.