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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.58+1.78vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.44+0.86vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College0.72+1.29vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.840.00vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.56-0.54vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.01-1.38vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.31-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1627.3%1st Place
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3.78University of Pennsylvania1.5817.6%1st Place
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3.86Cornell University1.4416.6%1st Place
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5.29SUNY Maritime College0.727.9%1st Place
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5.0Princeton University0.849.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Vermont0.567.6%1st Place
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5.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Michigan-0.013.6%1st Place
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6.12University of Wisconsin0.315.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Murray | 27.3% | 23.1% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Cole Woodworth | 17.6% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
Lauren Ehnot | 16.6% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
Brooks Turcotte | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.1% |
Asher Green | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
Gavin Sanborn | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
Max Case | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 19.2% |
Samuel Stephens | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 30.3% |
Jacqueline Ruggieri | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.