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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.89vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.72+3.30vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.44+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.58-0.25vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.84-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.56-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.01-0.31vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.31-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1627.6%1st Place
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5.3SUNY Maritime College0.727.6%1st Place
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3.84Cornell University1.4417.3%1st Place
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3.75University of Pennsylvania1.5817.4%1st Place
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4.88Princeton University0.849.7%1st Place
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5.47University of Vermont0.567.3%1st Place
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6.69University of Michigan-0.013.6%1st Place
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5.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.8%1st Place
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6.2University of Wisconsin0.314.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 27.6% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 9.0% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 17.3% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Cole Woodworth | 17.4% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Asher Green | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
| Samuel Stephens | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 30.9% |
| Max Case | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 18.4% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.