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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.56+3.50vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.84+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.58-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.31+1.12vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.01-0.24vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.44-4.21vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1627.6%1st Place
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5.5University of Vermont0.568.4%1st Place
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4.96Princeton University0.849.6%1st Place
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3.79University of Pennsylvania1.5817.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Wisconsin0.315.3%1st Place
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5.21SUNY Maritime College0.728.3%1st Place
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6.76University of Michigan-0.013.5%1st Place
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3.79Cornell University1.4415.3%1st Place
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6.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 27.6% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 10.0% |
| Asher Green | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 17.0% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 20.2% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
| Samuel Stephens | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 31.8% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 15.3% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Max Case | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.