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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.89vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.84+2.93vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.44+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.56+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.58-1.18vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.31-0.79vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.98vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.01-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1627.9%1st Place
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4.93Princeton University0.849.7%1st Place
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3.82Cornell University1.4415.6%1st Place
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5.45University of Vermont0.566.9%1st Place
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3.82University of Pennsylvania1.5816.2%1st Place
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5.2SUNY Maritime College0.728.9%1st Place
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6.21University of Wisconsin0.314.8%1st Place
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6.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.515.8%1st Place
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6.67University of Michigan-0.014.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 27.9% | 23.6% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 9.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 15.6% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 10.7% |
| Cole Woodworth | 16.2% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 21.1% |
| Max Case | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| Samuel Stephens | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.