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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.36+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of Florida1.59+6.79vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.80+2.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.13+1.90vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.50-0.02vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-2.21vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.99-0.23vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.22-5.16vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.86-5.06vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.60-5.35vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.34-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.39University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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7.21University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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7.98University of Florida2.500.1%1st Place
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6.79Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.77Clemson University1.990.0%1st Place
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5.84College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston2.860.1%1st Place
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7.65Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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11.25Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Proctor | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Michelle Thomas | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 27.7% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 11.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Caroline Wright | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Emilie Mademann | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Kathryn Hodges | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% |
| Corey Hall | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Metscher | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Anna Bradley | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 19.7% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.