Race 11A

david-lee-arnoff

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lauren Ehnot 15.8% 16.9% 16.4% 15.3% 12.8% 9.4% 7.0% 4.5% 2.1%
Asher Green 9.6% 9.8% 10.2% 11.9% 13.1% 13.9% 13.5% 11.4% 6.7%
Brooks Turcotte 7.6% 8.9% 10.2% 11.3% 12.6% 13.6% 13.6% 13.4% 8.7%
Cole Woodworth 17.2% 16.9% 18.1% 15.1% 11.7% 10.0% 6.3% 3.5% 1.2%
Gavin Sanborn 6.2% 7.5% 9.0% 10.4% 13.5% 12.4% 15.1% 15.2% 10.7%
Will Murray 29.0% 23.0% 18.2% 13.2% 8.1% 4.7% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Samuel Stephens 4.3% 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 7.6% 11.2% 12.6% 17.8% 30.6%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 5.0% 6.2% 6.5% 8.6% 10.7% 12.2% 14.8% 16.5% 19.5%
Max Case 5.2% 6.2% 6.5% 7.9% 10.1% 12.6% 14.4% 17.0% 20.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.