← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16+1.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.58+1.82vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College0.72+2.20vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.56+1.45vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.44-1.17vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University0.84-1.03vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan-0.01-0.24vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin0.31-2.03vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1627.9%1st Place
-
3.82University of Pennsylvania1.5816.6%1st Place
-
5.2SUNY Maritime College0.728.3%1st Place
-
5.45University of Vermont0.567.5%1st Place
-
3.83Cornell University1.4416.7%1st Place
-
4.97Princeton University0.848.8%1st Place
-
6.76University of Michigan-0.013.8%1st Place
-
5.97University of Wisconsin0.315.6%1st Place
-
6.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.514.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 27.9% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 16.6% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 16.7% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Asher Green | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| Samuel Stephens | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 33.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| Max Case | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.